You may have noticed that today is Wednesday, when it should be Monday. This, admittedly, is true; the mailbag is several days late. The joys of podcasting and the real world!
But we’re not using this as an excuse to push off this week. We’re going for it, just a little delayed from the typical date. Let’s get this under way!
If you’re interested in the Marlies and what’s making them tick statistically, this is the motherload. Over 9000 words, breaking down every single player up until the start of the Winter Fair road trip. I plan on doing a few more of these throughout the year, but this is the first bookmarking point.
He’s back with the Marlies now, but the team’s AHL MVP thus far got a nice reward for a dominant effort, getting four days of big league pocket change to stay up with the main team. I run down his season to date in this post.
The Marlies kicked off their road trip this weekend, and it didn’t go exactly as hoped. The team extended their point streak to five, but saw their three-game win streak come to and end. As always, notes, data, and all that fun stuff.
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He’s been an interesting person to have on the team. You can see elements of his skilled play still; the quick shifty dekes, the creative passes, the occasional bursts of speed. But he’s still a step or so off in quite a few of his shifts. My suspicion is that the talk of his hip improving thanks to the procedure’s he’s gone under is true, but that he still doesn’t quite have the lightning reactions necessary to get back to his old self due to his concussion history.
That could change with time, and whatever the case, he’s certainly better than your typical $650,000 player, but the “old Ennis is back!” talk of the preseason seems to have been a bit premature.
— Jacob Messih (@JacobMessih) November 4, 2018
I’d imagine the Flames are more likely to say no to this between he two teams. Tkachuk is on a pretty friendly contract and is a comparable skill; not to mention, is elite at drawing penalties. He’s already a beloved franchise co-face in Calgary and Nylander isn’t a talent that pulls you away from that, as great as he is too.
I feel like Andersen's play with the puck is worse this year. There were a few close calls when he tried to play the puck. Is it just me?
Also, is there some stats on goalies' play with the puck & the success rate? Turnovers behind the net while trying to play it, smth like that?
— Bri (@BriGrey) November 4, 2018
I don’t think there’s a particularly discernible difference between this year and previous years. Andersen has always been a bit accident prone in that regard, and those types of giveaways are the type that you remember vividly in the short term but forget about if they don’t lead to catastrophe.
There aren’t any mainstream metrics watching over puck playing ability. Private companies are likely tracking similar statistics for teams, but that’s not anything that most of us have access to.
It's late November and Bob McKenzie tweets "William Nylander to Carolina is official". What's the package from the Canes that make you think "Argh, I hate losing Willy but I guess that's a return I could live with"?
— Alex Graham-Mifsud (@sparks8268) November 4, 2018
Sebastian Aho or Dougie Hamilton. It needs to be someone who can change games to the same degree as Nylander can. Carolina has a ton of nice pieces, and I’m sure there are a ton of combinations you can make to get to equal or greater total return value, but I’m pretty firm in wanting to keep a bevy of stars, especially knowing that this team can figure out the rest.
Any chance Trevor Moore gets a real shot to play with the big club this year?
— Jake Desmarais (@jake_desmarais) November 4, 2018
It’ll depend on what exactly they’re looking for from the skater that gets called up. If they need a transition winger, it’ll be him. But there are situations that could also call for players like Carl Grundström, Adam Brooks, Mason Marchment, or even a vet like Chris Mueller.
With Kapanen producing as he has, does this further complicate things for this coming summer in terms of signing all of our RFA's?
— Bobby Hockey (@BobbyHockey18) November 4, 2018
We’ll have to see how long Kapanen keeps this streak of. He’s been an amazing player for the last few weeks, but that’s exactly how big his productive body of work in the NHL is. If he’s still potting at a 55-60 point pace by the end of the season, and he’s showing himself to be effective even without the help of the team’s stars, then maybe that creates some tough decisions.
Right now, though, I think you’re still treating him as if he has the body of work of an emerging middle-six forward.
goals and assists for petterson this year given his hot start, plus how many will he average over his prime?
— 🐳🎄N14🎅🏼⚔️ #brannwagon (@n14hn_v2) November 4, 2018
These past few weeks of watching Elias Pettersson work his magic have been among the most exciting that I’ve seen from any Canucks player in years. There’s no doubt in my mind that we are seeing the emergence of a legitimate superstar, who might just be there straight out of the gate.
Of course, we all know how shooting percentages and puck luck work and we know he’s not going to be this automatic all season. But I won’t be shocked if he clears a pace of 65+ over the full season and becomes a routine point-per-game threat, at least.
my question is: what is the best question you've ever been asked
— bobby kappucino (@bobbycappucino) November 4, 2018
My question is what’s the worst question you’ve ever been asked?
— Chemmy (@felixpotvin) November 5, 2018
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